I have long been saying that the revolution in Egypt could and, in probability, would end with an Islamic-militancy regime against Israel and the U.S. So, as I stated in one of my previous articles, the Obama Administration is trying to gain an ally out of the people or at least neutrality. We may lose a great ally but gaining an enemy launching pad for Al Qaeda would be a nightmare. He now backs the people as the now-facts show that they will overcome.
That being said, after the revolts bring success, it comes time for reconstruction. This is where, another thing I said in previous articles, an outcome like Cuba, Russia, France, or Iran could come. Progressive liberals have been for the people, and in time of reconstruction, have taken over with power and support. In 1979, we saw it with Iran, and the outcome was disastrous.
The worst thing to do at this point is get the people more and more angry. The Egyptian military has told the protesters they can return to normal life, but seeing that this was not enough for them, their anger builds. All it takes is one person out of the grassroots to “save them”. The Islamic Brotherhood has vowed to non-violence and are not looking for a military approach. The Christian Science Monitor cites Mr. Rubin, an author of books in the Middle-East, saying that they simply have not used violence because it was not the right time.
Very unlikely. But I agree with him saying that it could boots the Arab-Israeli conflict and cost “tens of thousands of lives”. The Islamic Brotherhood has been peaceful for decades. It’s unlikely, but possible that they would become violent at the right time. Though, it’s very likely that another group would come out and become violent on behalf of the people. Most of the country is filled with fundamentalists, so it’s not an empty thought.
The Obama Administration, as well as the world, knows that Mubarak’s regime is the only thing there to stop Islamic-militancy. At the end of the term, chaos would ensue. The U.S. urges him to leave office quickly so that there can be an orderly government reform with aid from other countries. But the fact is, the people want a democratic reform: one that stands up for what they want. The U.S. needs the new Egyptian administration to be a friend of Israel and a combatant of terrorism, when the people are in favor of those exact things. Anything promoting Israel’s or the U.S.’s mission would be just as disliked. The best case scenario is they become neutral or inactive against Israel and not a home for Al Qaeda.
Reform should be done quickly and within months. Otherwise it could be another Cuba, Russia, France, or Iran. When you add Israel into the mix with that outcome, the scenario is very grim.